VT/UT Statistical Comparison
by Joelestra on Dec 31, 2009 12:29 PM EST
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PrintLast edition for the season - expanded for the bowl!
This week's statistical comparison will include the following ratings and, if available, the statistical prediction based on the rating:
- Massey Ratings (http://www.masseyratings.com/)
- Sauceda (http://www.masseyratings.com/pred.php?s=94988&sub=&days=7)
- Markov (http://www.masseyratings.com/pred.php?s=94988&sub=&days=7)
- Sagarin (http://www.kiva.net/~jsagarin/sports/cfsend.htm)
- Fremeau Index (http://bcftoys.blogspot.com/2009/09/week-2-fei-ratings.html)
- FACT (http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/rothman.txt)
- Wolfe (http://prwolfe.bol.ucla.edu/cfootball/ratings.htm)
Here is how we stack up:
|
System |
VT Rating (Rank) |
UT Rating (Rank) |
Highest Rated |
Prediction |
|
Massey |
2.221 (8th) |
1.927 (24th) |
2.853 - Alabama |
VT by 6 |
|
Sauceda |
32.42 (7th) |
25.65 (22nd) |
44.40 - Alabama |
VT by 5.7 |
|
Markov |
34.245 (6th) |
23.903 (23rd) |
41.952 - Alabama |
VT by 10.4 |
|
Sagarin ELO |
83.92 (10th) |
78.78 (31st) |
100.33 - Alabama |
VT by 5.1 |
|
Sagarin PREDICTOR |
90.94 (4th) |
80.81 (26th) |
96.14 - Alabama |
VT by 10.1 |
|
Fremeau |
0.240 (5th) |
0.117 (30th) |
0.330 - Alabama |
VT by 13 |
|
FACT |
64.10 (9th) |
59.29 (18th) |
82.17 - Alabama |
- |
|
Wolfe |
6.895 (11th) |
5.834 (41st) |
9.912 - Alabama |
54% chance VT wins |
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