ACC Football Turnover Rates for 2008

by furrer4heisman on Jul 15, 2009 11:17 PM EDT Comment 4 comments

This idea was blatantly stolen from Bird. The stats are from CFBStats. The math was done by Microsoft Excel. So I did very little work here. What can I say? Laziness is next to Godliness.

After the jump you'll find three tables. The first two look at offensive and defensive turnover rates in league games in 2008. The numbers are pretty simple, total plays are divided by total turnovers to get plays per turnover. A high number is good on offense and a low number is good on defense.

The last table shows turnover rate differential. It's offensive turnover rate minus defensive turnover rate. A higher number is good here as well.

Here are the offensive numbers. Again, these are league games only.

**Offensive Turnover Rate (ACC Games Only)**
School	Plays	TOs	PPTO
NC State	487	5	97.4
Wake Forest	538	8	67.3
Maryland	522	13	40.2
Virginia Tech	600	15	40.0
Duke	517	16	32.3
Miami	515	18	28.6
North Carolina	513	18	28.5
Florida State	538	19	28.3
Georgia Tech	495	18	27.5
Clemson	516	19	27.2
Virginia	526	20	26.3
Boston College	637	26	24.5
League	6404	195	32.8

And the defensive numbers.

**Defensive Turnover Rate (ACC Games Only)**
School	Plays	TOs	PPTO
Virginia Tech	514	23	22.2
Wake Forests	527	22	24.0
Florida State	490	18	27.2
Georgia Tech	507	18	28.2
Boston College	570	19	30.0
Duke	563	18	31.3
NC State	536	17	31.5
Virginia	545	16	34.1
Clemson	524	14	37.4
North Carolina	564	13	43.4
Miami	533	10	53.3
Maryland	531	7	75.9
League	6404	195	32.8

Both tables pretty much follow the final ranking based on total turnovers. Finally, turnover rate differential.

**TO Rate Differential (ACC Games Only)**
School	Off TO	Def TO	TO Diff
NC State	97.4	31.5	65.9
Wake Forest	67.3	24.0	43.3
Virginia Tech	40.0	22.3	17.7
Florida State	28.3	27.2	1.1
Duke	32.3	31.3	1.0
Georgia Tech	27.5	28.2	-0.7
Boston College	24.4	30.0	-5.5
Virginia	26.3	34.1	-7.8
Clemson	27.2	37.4	-10.2
North Carolina	28.5	43.4	-14.9
Miami	28.6	53.3	-24.7
Maryland	40.2	75.9	-35.7
League	32.8	32.8	0.0

This one varies a little bit, mainly with North Carolina. The Tar Heels were No. 4 in the ACC with a 0.46 TO/game margin. However, when using turnover rate the Heels drop to No. 10. No other team varies anywhere near that much.

Turnover rate doesn't differ greatly from turnovers per game. However, I still think turnovers per play is a better judge of how well a team protects the ball or forces turnovers rather than turnovers per game.

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