FanPost

Statistical Score Estimate vs. Miami

The spreadsheet took a definite hit in the Virginia Tech game but looked good in it's blowout predictions for Alabama and Wisconsin (and should've been A&M until they blew another one) and picked the SMU upset over TCU.

As we always know, the Hokies statistics always seem to favor better than their actual play but let's hope ol' mighty Excel can get this one right.

Hokie Offense

The actual numbers didn't take too much of a hit.  The hit was in the Yards per Point calculation which is obvious.

 

  Offense
Team Adj Rushing Yards Rank Adj Passing Yards Rank
Virginia Tech 167.6 41 177.5 94

 

Hokie Defense

 

Our defensive numbers actually improved as we played Clemson's offense better than everyone else has this year.

 

  Defense
Team Adj Rushing Yards Rank Adj Passing Yards Rank
Virginia Tech 70.7 2 181.9 7

 

Miami Game

When comparing the season statistics, the offenses are pretty similar while we have a top 10 defense and they have a bottom 15 run defense.  That was the case versus Clemson, so again its up to our coaches and Logan to uphold their parts of the deal.  Can we find enough of an offensive identity to balance our run strength with an easy passing scheme for Logan to learn in?  I guess we'll find out again this Saturday, but again the stats are on our side.

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Miami (Florida) 78.1 151.1 229.2 16.0
Virginia Tech 265.2 174.1 439.3 26.7

 

Other Notable Games

 

Florida-LSU will obviously be a tie.  Give the advantage to the home team, especially in Death Valley.

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Florida 75.6 202.2 277.8 18.7
LSU 97.4 137.5 234.9 18.7

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Oklahoma 158.8 318.6 477.4 29.7
Texas 149.9 198.4 348.2 20.4

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Auburn 217.9 160.9 378.8 27.0
Arkansas 141.7 462.9 604.6 42.7

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Ohio State 145.6 162.0 307.6 23.4
Nebraska 153.0 112.7 265.7 18.6

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