Statistical Score Estimate vs. Georgia Tech

Georgia Tech Game

Personally, I throw the normal statistics out on this game since our undersized defenders are just built to get worn down against GT in this game, but I'll go ahead and throw up the stats anyways.  Last week, the Mighty Excel didn't get too close on the score but you'll notice it only missed VT's total yards by 4 and Duke's by 6.  The sample size seems to be getting the estimates closer.  It's just up to StineCain to get the damn ball in the endzone.

 

This week, we're predicted to win by over 5 points mainly because their offensive strength (2nd best run offense) is matches our defensive strength (8th best run defense) while our offensive strength (34th best run offense) matches their defensive weakness (70th best run defense).  We all know it will probably be 5 points or less, but if we do in fact get more rushing yards in this game than they do we better win the damn game.

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Virginia Tech 199.6 180.6 380.2 25.5
Georgia Tech 176.3 128.7 305.1 19.9

Hokie Offense

 

There really isn't much difference in our offensive statistics this week compared to our stats before the Duke game.  The offense moved the ball.  It just didn't put any points on the board.  The offensive efficiency took a hit and it shows by the prediction of 380 yards and only 26 points.

 

  Rushing Offense
Team Actual Rush YPG Acutal Rank Adj Rushing Yards Adj Rank
Virginia Tech 200.2 24 177.2 34

 

 

  Passing Offense
Team Actual Pass YPG Actual Rank Adj Passing Yards Adj Rank
Virginia Tech 227.4 65 213.0 66

 

Hokie Defense

The defensive numbers continue to notch up each week.  Obviously they were the reason we won last week and their defensive ranking climbed a couple spots because of it.

 

  Rushing Defense
Team Actual Rush YPG Actual Rank Adj Rushing Yards Rank
Virginia Tech 86.3 6 104.7 8

 

 

  Passing Defense
Team Actual Pass YPG Actual Rank Adj Passing Yards Rank
Virginia Tech 212.0 46 209.0 26

 

Other Notable Games

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Oklahoma State 270.3 341.2 611.5 50.9
Texas Tech 154.4 400.6 555.1 36.2

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Oregon 176.4 195.0 371.4 26.2
Stanford 209.1 269.9 479.0 34.5

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
TCU 175.3 157.5 332.8 23.0
Boise State 145.8 276.9 422.7 32.7

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Auburn 122.0 152.1 274.1 19.9
Georgia 188.8 251.0 439.8 31.8

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Texas A&M 139.7 353.0 492.7 35.2
Kansas State 149.4 163.7 313.1 24.3

In This Article

Teams
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