SEC Expansion Rumors Pull Virginia Tech in Just When We Think We're Out
Earlier today, some guy who writes for Gig Em 247 wrote some rumor about Texas A&M going to the SEC. That story is behind a pay wall and that guy looks like this:
Usually that alone would be enough to convince people not to pay attention to it. However, since it involves God's Conference and OMG Conference Expansion, it blew up on The Twitter and eventually everyone took it and ran with it. And, of course, it eventually pulled Virginia Tech into the discussion.
The line of reasoning is that if Texas A&M joins the SEC, the SEC will want to expand to at least 14 teams. And since the SEC has added the Dallas and Houston media markets with A&M, they'll want to add even more, which means adding Virginia Tech and the Washington, DC, market that it theoretically brings to the table.
So, bam. Just like that. If A&M goes to the SEC, it's hello Virginia Tech.
Except...
1. There's no guarantee Texas A&M gets invited to the SEC.
2. There's no guarantee Virginia Tech then gets invited.
3. There's no guarantee Virginia Tech would accept that invitation.
I realize right now you're infuriated at No. 3. I'll get to that in a moment. However, we're going to take these in order.
If the SEC decides to expand, I'm sure Texas A&M will be among the first teams it invites. It pulls Dallas and Houston into the SEC's local media markets, which are the No. 5 and No. 10 ranked DMAs according to Nielsen. It would also allow existing SEC coaches increased exposure into the fertile recruiting grounds of TIXAS.
But why would the SEC want to expand? One, two or four more mouths would have to pull in enough new money to make up for what money gets lost by dividing the conference's media rights take by 14 or 16 instead of 12. Plus, why does the SEC need to add media markets? The "SEC Network" is ESPN. They already have ALL of the media markets.
Next, there are a list of competitors for Virginia Tech in the battle to be SEC team No. 14. First, there's Oklahoma. Do I think OU would bolt to the SEC with Texas A&M? Not really, but at the end of the day OU is going to do what's best for OU, whether that's go to the SEC, Pac 10 or stand pat in the Big 12.
Along with OU, there's Florida State (which as Joe pointed out to me would face heavy opposition from Florida and Georgia) and Clemson, which is probably the best fit for the conference. But Clemson doesn't bring any new money to the SEC. It's just, as a friend of mine once put it, an ACC school with an SEC problem.
OK, so now the whole "Virginia Tech wouldn't automatically accept" thing. My opinion is that Tech should accept an invitation to the SEC. Being in God's Conference is a license to print your own money.
But there are more factors in this thing than just football revenue, although that trumps all in the eyes of many fans. First, there's the non-revenue sports. Tech would have to pay for a lot of road trips west of the Mississippi for a lot of teams that don't bring in any revenue.
On the academic side, Tech's research partners are in the ACC. The school recently made national headlines thanks to a helmet study it did with Wake Forest. That means a lot to people at the university whose priorities will never include football. I could see Tech's bigwigs using a combination of these things as their reasoning for turning down oodles and oodles of money from the SEC.
So, before we go and start packing our bags for the apparently greener pastures of the SEC, let's remember that we're lucky to be in the ACC. It's a conference that fits us and in which our football program has grown. There's nothing wrong with being in the ACC, even if it will never bring in nearly as much cash as the SEC or ever care about football or schools that aren't North Carolina or Duke.
Rumors putting Texas A&M in the SEC are only meant to try and agitate Texas. Except Texas can't be agitated by A&M because at the end of the day Texas couldn't care less what A&M does. Rumors like this are only meant to drive up subscriber counts.
Last year the Texas recruiting site that was pushing expansion rumors and innuendo would at least stick that news in front of its pay wall.
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"Rumors like this are only meant to drive up subscriber counts."
Well said.
We'll carry the banner high!
Bring On The Cats
by TB on Aug 9, 2011 10:53 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Wow
I was really pulling for this blog, but I think I’m out. This post has about the same quality (including spelling/grammar) as a Bleacher Report post. Good luck, man. Good luck.
"[...] coordinator Bud Foster has never had problems filling holes."
where are the spelling mistakes? im tired.
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by furrer4heisman on Aug 9, 2011 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions
You said:
My opinion is that Tech should accept an invitation to the ACC.
I think you meant to say:
My opinion is that Tech should accept an invitation to the SEC.
by Maroon Baboon on Aug 9, 2011 11:39 PM EDT up reply actions
is that it?
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by furrer4heisman on Aug 9, 2011 11:44 PM EDT up reply actions
that’s the only one I noticed, but you’ll have to ask Cruithear
by Maroon Baboon on Aug 9, 2011 11:51 PM EDT up reply actions
I found an on that should have been an in.
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by furrer4heisman on Aug 10, 2011 1:23 AM EDT up reply actions
HEY!
That’s MY job! You cut that shit out!
by chicagomaroon on Aug 10, 2011 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions
Couple of things…
there’s Florida State (which as Joe pointed out to me would face heavy opposition from Florida and Georgia)
That’s not entirely true.
The ACC as a whole isn’t all that much above the SEC from an academic standpoint. The ACC isn’t the Big 10.
But why would the SEC want to expand?
You answered that in your above paragraph.
But in all honestly, the only other time I’ve heard VaTech being mentioned as possibly going to the SEC was a month ago when a poster causally mentioned it at Team Speed Kills.
I wouldn’t worry about it.
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The ACC as a whole isn’t all that much above the SEC from an academic standpoint. The ACC isn’t the Big 10.
You seem to be misunderstood. The ACC is probably the most academic oriented major Football conference with the likes of Duke, Wake, UVA, Georgia Tech, UNC, and Miami. All Top tier schools. The ACC is definitely above the Big Ten, as really the top B10 schools are Michigan and perhaps Penn State.
That said, I’d say its most Likely VT would prefer to remain in the academic conference, and run a clean program, rather than moving to a conference where Beamer’s ways are an afterthought
Ahhh. Okay. But the Big 10 is the only conference where they are all accredited by that system. Well, except for Nebraska.
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U S News rankings
Not that the U S News rankings are perfect by any means, but if you look at their top 50 universities by BCS conferences, you’d find:
7 ACC schools
5 Pac10
4 Big 10
1 Big 12
1 Big East
1 SEC
If you expand beyond BCS conferences, the ACC would be second to only the Ivy (all 8 schools are in the top 15…..)
Yeah, its nothing personal. I’d still take the Big 10.
FWIW…Association of American Universities is the accreditation I was talking about.
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I could be mistaken, but I believe the AAU gives out memberships based on research dollars spent and the # of citations in various academic papers. As a result smaller schools (Wake) and schools with a heavy emphasis on undergrad (BC) often don’t even get looked at by the AAU. That doesn’t mean that they’re not top notch schools, it just means that they’re not as research focused as others.
Yeah, to be honest though, I’ve never really cared about academic rankings for a conference for a couple of reasons. 1) Nobody really ever slams Florida when it comes to academics and 2) That it is usually (other than arrests) the only thing anybody can ever say that is below-average regarding the SEC.
So I usually don’t read and/or skip over that part because that is all someone has.
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Rankings
Expansion talk always grabs my attention, so I had to read this article. As a Big Ten fan I always hear talk about the Big Ten being the best academic conference. I think it just depends on where you draw the line. Prior to Nebraska all 11 Big Ten schools were in the top 80 (based on the latest rankings).
Plus a minor correction, the Big Ten has 5 in the top 50; Northwestern, Michigan, Wisconsin, Penn State and Illinois.
Anyway, if 16 team super conferences come into existence and Notre Dame joins the Big Ten, I would bet they try to add Maryland, Virginia, and Virgina Tech. What would Virginia Tech fans thoughts be on that?
Another minor correction: When talking about the Big Ten academics you have to include the University of Chicago. UC is the center of the CIC, and ranks at the bottom of the top ten along with Duke and Northwestern. UC and the CIC is why Big Ten academics are considered so good.
Personally, I’ll take Stanford, USC, and the California system over the Big Ten any day! That’s 8 schools in the top 50, including 4 in the top 25. The only group better than that is the Ivy League.
VT to SEC
VT to SEC was mentioned a lot last summer when Texas was going to the Pac16, and A&M decided it would pass on the Pac16 and negotiate with the SEC. There were even reports out of the SEC meetings at that time that said VT would be the 14th team. So take it for what it’s worth.
But keep in mind that others have more recently reported that Clemson was on the line to be the 14th team.
So who really knows. It’s all hearsay.
by Maroon Baboon on Aug 9, 2011 11:46 PM EDT up reply actions
I’d be okay if it were Clemson and Texas A&M. All I really want is A&M. Don’t really care all that much who the 2nd team is. Though FSU and Oklahoma would be alright as well.
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I care
The ACC can’t afford to lose football schools. I’d prefer the SEC take Wake ;)
by Maroon Baboon on Aug 9, 2011 11:49 PM EDT up reply actions
That’s because all the ACC has for football is FSU, y’all and Miami every 5th year.
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Yeah unfortunately UNC’s gradual rise has been stunted, and We all are hoping that Georgia Tech will be more than just a 1 year wonder
UNC seems to get lighting (with a coach) every decade and a half or so. GaTech, I don’t know. Wouldn’t this year be the telling year?
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They seem to always be capable of playing at a high level, at least whenever they play us. Our games against GT as of late have always been extremely competitive, and It leaves the entire conference wondering whats going on when they almost lose to teams like Wake
Interesting…The typical “play to the level of your opponent” team.
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I don't think
we would go to the SEC anyways. Plus, I think if Virginia Tech went, UVa would have to be included in a package deal which wouldn’t happen.
Let's Play A Game
Should the SEC accept Texas A&M and Clemson, the ACC would then also want to expand to 14 teams, which would lead to raiding the Big East again. My guess would be Pitt, WVU, and Syracuse, and becoming the SEC of college hoops.
by slacker4life4528 on Aug 10, 2011 11:12 AM EDT reply actions
Your reasoning is just a little flawed..
First, as a member of the SEC Eastern Division, VA Tech would RARELY travel west of the Mississippi. Tech would would play 1-2 SEC West opponents on a rotating basis. Arkansas is west of the Mississippi (944 mi from Blacksburg) while Baton Rouge sits on the Mississippi. If A&M and/or Oklahoma joins the SEC, they would be the two most distant teams at 1174 and 1098 mi, respectively. But, again, you would play them ocassionally. In the SEC East, the most distant venue is Gainesville (624 mi). The remainder of the Eastern Division opponents are within 416 mi (Nashville) or less. I really think the distance thing is a non-issue.
Now in terms of stadium size, Vanderbilt is the smallest stadium in the East Div with around 40K capacity. Kentucky is the second smallest at 68K and South Carolina is next at 80,250. The remaining SEC East stadiums hold 89K, 93K; and 104K. If VA Tech joins the SEC, it will have the second SMALLEST stadium capacity in the SEC East (66.2K) and would be in the bottom 4 among both divisions. Do you want to see stadium expansion in Blacksburg? It will happen much faster if the Hokies are in the SEC.
In the West Div, MSU is currently expanding to 55K and Ole Miss is at almost 61K. After those two comes Razorback Stadium ar 72K, Auburn at 89K, LSU at 92.4K and BAMA at 102K. If A&M joins and/or OU, there stadium capacities are 83K and 82.1K, respectively.
This I can promise you: much more energetic and exciting venues than where Tech plays now. You cannot beat the excitement of Bryant-Denny, Tiger Stadium in Baton Rouge on Saturday night, the Swamp in Gainesville, Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, between the hedges in Athens, Columbia SC, Auburn, or the Sooo-eey Pig yells in Fayettville. You haven’t seen gorgeous women until you’ve tailgated at the Grove in Oxford, MS where “they redshirt Miss Americas” as Tim Brando is fond of saying. Now throw in the tradition and gameday atmosphere at Aggie Stadium in College Station and possibly Norman, OK where a rousing rendition of “Boomer Sooner” plays while the wagon circles the field. Please, it doesn’t get any better….ANYWHERE. This is college football’s version of heaven.
If VA Tech has a chance to get in the SEC and hesitates even a little, the administration needs their heads examined. You can’t let an opportunity for the big time slip by. Even brainstorming excuses why you shouldn’t is crazy.
And we wonder why we don't want to be in the SEC?
This is a great argument don’t get me wrong, but obviously this guy couldn’t find Lane Stadium on a map. And the day we start to think our crap doesn’t stink and we get into the biggest dick-showing show in all of college sports, we’ll know we’re a true member of the SEC.
by chicagomaroon on Aug 10, 2011 12:59 PM EDT up reply actions
From ESECPN itself
“Does it get any better than a thursday night in Blacksburg?”
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HV3hE8_en80
There’s a reason Lane is always one of the smallest stadiums in the top ten toughest places to play.
Correct, Va Tech would run to the SEC. However, we would have one of the smallest stadiums and play a schedule that would make us 6 and 6. Is that worth it? Ask Michigan what a middle of the road SEC team is like. -Miss. St. 56 Michigan 14 in the Gator Bowl. I think we are better than Michigan, but I don’t want to face that kind of talent week after week.
So be it then.
My intent was to encourage the Hokies to join the league, not offend your pride.
Most would view that as an indication that Tech is highly respected and considered a desirable program not take offense at the overture. Sorry you took it that way.
Drive on, I’ll leave your thread alone.
Again, I said you had a great argument
I’m not at all trying to argue that the SEC isn’t the most dominant conference in college football by far. It is. And I’m not trying to argue that on the surface the Hokies should be clamoring to be in it. If it was simply based on that, we should. I think you’re misinterpreting what I’m saying.
The map statement, yeah, maybe that was a little much, but I believe that StLHokie proved the point I was trying to prove. We do just fine with our 66K and have sold out every home game for many seasons in a row. I think even some of the SEC teams would beg for a fanbase like ours to fill their gigantic stadiums. That’s really the point I was trying to make. I believe Lee Corso and Kirk Herbstreit said it best when in 2002 they were asked about the toughest atmosphere they’ve ever seen for a game and they said it’s a tie between Tiger Stadium at LSU and Lane Stadium on Thursday nights. Even though they eventually gave the advantage to LSU in the end, they said that Lane Stadium on Thursday nights was just a different monster and that the fans there were “rabid.” I’ll take being called the second best in the nation by those guys who have been to every major stadium in college football any day. And that was in 2002! The point is, it’s not the size of the stadium that is the determinant. At 66,000 we’re a fairly big stadium for college football, and yes while almost all Hokie fans would like to see it bigger just as a symbol of pride, I don’t think it matters that much at the moment. It’s what the people in the stands DO that make or break the stadium.
The idea that the SEC would make the stadium bigger might be true in the long-run, but as of right now Virginia Tech has stated it has no new expansion plans for the next few years. That’s significant because in Virginia you have to have the blueprints approved for a building or expansion that big several years in advance I believe. So SEC or no, the stadium is not getting bigger for the moment. That’s not your fault though and you shouldn’t have been expected to know that. Just filling you in.
Also, furrer4heisman was talking about the “non-revenue” sports (we’re not really worried about travel expenses for football games). I’m not sure on how those sports work in the SEC so maybe you could fill me in on this one. How are schedules in sports like softball and women’s soccer and swimming set up in the SEC? THAT’S what we’d be worried about because of proximity. How much MORE money would we lose in those sports.
I do appreciate your opinion, and I don’t want to come off as not interested in your statements or the SEC. Again, I believe that your argument was a well-reasoned, quality argument. I’m just used to being picked on and seeing the program looked down upon by SEC fans and SEC schools, so there’s always going to be an uncomfortableness for us and SEC fans. A chip on our shoulder. We always hear about the SEC and how great it is (and IT IS THE GREATEST, and we know it! Again, don’t worry I’m not questioning that). But when SEC fans are the ones telling the masses (I know broadcasters do too), it begins to fall on deaf ears. Suffice it to say there are certain things we don’t understand about the SEC, and there are certain things that the SEC doesn’t understand about Virginia Tech. That’s all.
by chicagomaroon on Aug 10, 2011 7:01 PM EDT up reply actions
I would run, not walk to the SEC
1. Texas will break-up the Big 12 in 2012 and go independent.
2. Texas A&M goes to the SEC and they offer OU, but they don’t want anything to do with that situation. In need of eyeballs they look east — WVA, NC State, Fuck Clemson et. al.
3. Which allows the Big 10 to accept Oklahoma and look east — Maryland, BC, UVa, UNC et.al. for a 14th
4. 13 game schedule introduced in 2017.
5. Your move Tech
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The odds of OU going to the Pac 12 are a billion times greater than it going to the Big Ten.
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by furrer4heisman on Aug 10, 2011 6:38 PM EDT up reply actions
So that would be the Pac12?
If the Big10 wanted OU, they would already have them. OU will stick with Texas in a smaller Big12 or they will head west.
by ev on Aug 10, 2011 9:22 PM EDT up reply actions
Big Ten needs Notre Dame to expand!
To get this done BT will have to take BC and one other major ND rival. They can get away with taking Syracuse to lock up the New York market. Their next get has to be either Navy or Pitt. I would go Pitt myself!
Oh, to the people who say Syracuse won’t get you the New York market: You’re right! Notre Dame gets you that market. Syracuse, Penn State, and Boston College give you the excuse to claim that market in negotiations with ESPN!
SEC
Let’s face it Hokie fans, if we goin the SEC we are a 6 and 6 football team year in and year out. We would have to play Bama, LSU, Auburn, Georgia, Florida, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Tennessee, etc. I don’t think we want that every week.
Hardly
We’ve proven that we can play close with anyone (see Alabama in 09) and I believe we could still be a 10 win team in the SEC, considering that there are some weaker teams that play similarly to the level of a Wake Forest
Va. Tech a perfect cultural fit for SEC
It would also complement Texas A&M in that both have comparable quasi-military traditions and have made major strides academically in recent decades. (Heck, both even have maroon as a primary color.)
People assume the ACC is rock-solid, even though it’s a tier below the Big Ten and SEC in finances (the Pac-12, which is finally taking advantage of its geographical advantage, will soon join them) and really isn’t perceived as having a marketable football brand. Therefore, it’s just as vulnerable as the Big 12, albeit for different reasons.
If the Big 12 is nearing oblivion, with Texas aiming for independence (thanks to its Longhorn Network deal with ESPN) and A&M SEC-bound, every other BCS member below the Big Ten, SEC and Pac-12 are in play (though Notre Dame will stay independent in football). Therefore, I could see the commissioners of those top three leagues divying up their preferences from the other three (though to be honest, I don’t see any Big East teams being assimilated, aside from the longshots of Rutgers for the Big Ten and West Virginia for the SEC).
How about:
SEC adds Missouri, Texas A&M, Virginia Tech and N.C. State (four new states, without anyone of the problems adding Clemson or Florida State would bring)
Big Ten adds Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina and Duke (the core of the ACC, impact in the affluent mid-Atlantic region, and good academic/athletic fits with current members, especially Penn State)
Pac-12 adds Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State and Kansas (one football brand and one basketball brand to the mix; this might be the most problematic because Okie State is piggybacked — thank you, T. Boone Pickens! — and K-State isn’t.)
What’s left? The nine Big East schools (counting Texas Christian), six ACC remnants, and Baylor, Iowa State and Kansas State from the Big 12. That’s enough to form one 18-member conference (unlikely) or two leagues, one of 10 members, the other of eight; one of those leagues might be a replenished ACC. No one is going to be left out in the cold.
That might be the most outlandish expansion scenario I’ve read in the two years we’ve been seeing these. I like it.
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by furrer4heisman on Aug 11, 2011 12:08 AM EDT up reply actions
Why outlandish?
I’ve tried to take into account political considerations and the varied needs and aims of different conferences. The Big Ten has different goals and priorities than the SEC, which in turns has a different approach than the Pac-12.
A&M and Tech would be perfect cultural fits for the SEC, Missouri and NCSU perhaps less so, but the SEC almost certainly has to do a two-east, two-west expansion to reach 16. All things being equal, it would prefer Oklahoma, but political considerations would require Okie State tag along. So settle for Mizzou and hope, as was the case with South Carolina, the SEC brand can repair a rather dysfunctional athletic program.
For the Big Ten, its dream is Notre Dame, but that dream isn’t happening. Missouri is a rather ho-hum candidate from its perspective, and while Rutgers might work, it still hasn’t developed a long-term, big-time athletic program, and other talked-about Big East candidates add even less in the blend of athletics, academics and research. (Remember, the Big Ten institutions plus the University of Chicago have their own research consortium, which handles hundreds of millions of dollars in research.) As a unit, Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina and Duke add a fast-growing part of the country to the Big Ten — along providing insurance of a sort if the midwest continues to struggle. None are big football brands, but Nebraska already took care of that, and perhaps association with the Big Ten, rather than the lackluster ACC, would pay off for all four. They would also bolster Big Ten hoops, as they have won five of the last 11 NCAA men’s titles and all four are perennial women’s powers.
The Pac-12 can add both OU and Okie State with little problem, and Texas Tech’s relative proximity to Colorado helps, too. The fly in the ointment might be breaking up Kansas and K-State; if worse comes to worst, substitute Texas Christian.
Using my scenario in the earlier post, how might the “what’s left?” teams divide? How about two nine-team conferences (yes, I said 10 and eight previously, but nine does allow eight conference games for all)::
“North” conference: Boston College, Cincinnati, Connecticut, Iowa State, Kansas State, Pittsburgh, Rutgers, Syracuse, West Virginia
“South” conference: Baylor, Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech, Louisville, Miami, South Florida, Texas Christian, Wake Forest
The above might work as one league with separate divisions if it had to.
very intriguing
I never thought of an NCSU to the SEC before. It makes a ton of sense. The triangle is one of the fastest growing areas in the country. It kind of fits the profile of adding A&M. Not the flagship, but still getting the markets.
However, I don’t think the Big 4 of the ACC bolt for the Big 10. I think they force the ACC to replace VT and NCSU/MD/whatever school the SEC poaches with two Big East schools and possibly four more to get to 16.
If I’m the ACC (and I know nothing about the academics), I go after UConn (BC Rival), West Virginia, Pittsburgh, Syracuse, Louisville and TCU (it’s about FB).
Can you imagine a basketball league with UNC, Duke, MD, UConn, Pitt, Syracuse, Louisville?
by Purple Reign on Aug 11, 2011 3:01 AM EDT up reply actions
Being No. 14
Expansion to the SEC only happens if A&M says yes. The natural No. 14 is VT. If you don’t want it, they won’t sweat it. They’ll grab Maryland or Missouri and probably make more money than VT would generate.
The real question for VT fans should be: “Do we want to be in the SEC East?” As a season-ticket holder, hell yes. You get some combination of Florida, Tennessee and Georgia every year! You’ll also get either Alabama, LSU or Auburn also.
However, you also have to play FLA, UT, UGA each year and UA, LSU and/or AU each year too. A little harder than navigating the Coastal (or Atlantic, I don’t know! — Do North/South for crying out loud) to win 10 games, get to the Conference Championship Game and a BCS Game.
As an SEC guy, I’d prefer Maryland or Mizzou. I think they’d bring in more TV money and they’re easier to beat in football.
The ACC is less secure than people think
Were Tech to bolt for the ACC, the entire conference is in play — and Maryland, with an athletic department in red ink and stuck in a conference with no marketable football brand — would be available. However, I would be shocked if it was pursued by the SEC. The Big Ten is a much better cultural fit for College Park, as the Washington area is teeming with Big Ten alums and joining that conference would be a step up for Maryland athletics, academics and research.
Maryland might leave on its own, but it would probably prefer not to go it alone unless it absolutely had to. If the writing seemed on the wall that the ACC was tottering (which it will as long as it has no football brand to speak of), and that leaving for another conference was the only way its core members could assure themselves of a secure future, UVa, UNC and possibly Duke would also flee, although political considerations might require the Big Ten to take NCSU instead of Duke in order to land the prize that is UNC. In that event, the SEC’s second team from the east might be West Virginia, assuming Clemson or FSU would be vetoed by South Carolina or Florida, and Duke is left among the ACC remnants who ultimately merge with Big 12 leftovers and the Big East football schools.
Now, reports of Tech to the SEC with A&M, OU and Okie State
From Orangebloods,com, a U. of Texas site:
I’m a bit skeptical of this, if only because going 3/1 west/east would force the SEC to put Auburn in the east while keeping Alabama in the west. I don’t see them splitting. It’s possible that Oklahoma and Okie State are playing the SEC and Pac-12 against each other in order to secure the best possible deal.

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