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Statistical Score Estimate vs. North Carolina

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North Carolina Game

Last week, it was predicted that we'd have more rushing yards than Georgia Tech and somehow that actually happened.  Let's hope the prediction is right again this week.

 

The margin of victory is actually a bit slimmer this week as compared to last week.  Statistically, it's because the weaker part of our defense is our pass defense and that is North Carolina's offensive strength where it was just a battle at the line last week.  A 4.8 point victory predicted by Excel this week.

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
North Carolina 100.9 225.6 326.6 20.9
Virginia Tech 140.3 246.5 386.8 25.7

We're getting deep into the season and the averages won't be fluctuating too much, so I won't write anything about the stats, but keep them up if you're interested in looking.

 

 

  Rushing Offense
Team Actual Rush YPG Acutal Rank Adj Rushing Yards Adj Rank
Virginia Tech 206.9 24 181.0 30

 

 

  Passing Offense
Team Actual Pass YPG Actual Rank Adj Passing Yards Adj Rank
Virginia Tech 225.6 69 215.7 65

 

 

  Rushing Defense
Team Actual Rush YPG Actual Rank Adj Rushing Yards Adj Rank
Virginia Tech 102.0 13 111.8 10

 

 

  Passing Defense
Team Actual Pass YPG Actual Rank Adj Passing Yards Adj Rank
Virginia Tech 200.5 31 208.5 25

 

 

Other Notable Games

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Oklahoma 235.0 410.4 645.4 51.5
Baylor 165.8 339.7 505.5 31.0

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Kansas State 128.8 143.5 272.4 22.0
Texas 158.2 234.2 392.4 29.2

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Nebraska 194.8 138.5 333.3 21.5
Michigan 235.5 179.4 415.0 29.5

 

 

  Game Estimates
Team Exp Rush Exp Pass Exp Total Calc Score
Virginia 108.1 191.7 299.9 18.1
Florida State 90.7 281.2 371.9 27.9